Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.051448 0.055875 0.060357 0.065229 0.070367 0.075618 0.081382
2025-06-08 0.045745 0.052358 0.059291 0.067071 0.075534 0.084432 0.094470
2025-06-15 0.041027 0.049205 0.058040 0.068233 0.079605 0.091845 0.105952
2025-06-22 0.037035 0.046357 0.056707 0.068940 0.082894 0.098207 0.116177
2025-06-29 0.033410 0.043539 0.055074 0.069012 0.085225 0.103328 0.124903
2025-07-06 0.031455 0.042447 0.055240 0.070987 0.089605 0.110686 0.136124
2025-07-13 0.028464 0.039855 0.053416 0.070430 0.090880 0.114359 0.143041
2025-07-20 0.026239 0.038019 0.052342 0.070622 0.092918 0.118833 0.150829
2025-07-27 0.024675 0.036889 0.052022 0.071632 0.095860 0.124323 0.159788
2025-08-03 0.023578 0.036269 0.052264 0.073277 0.099533 0.130666 0.169767
2025-08-10 0.020878 0.033355 0.049435 0.070935 0.098190 0.130889 0.172369
2025-08-17 0.019185 0.031684 0.048111 0.070408 0.099018 0.133682 0.178017
2025-08-24 0.017601 0.030100 0.046861 0.069963 0.099974 0.136694 0.184043
2025-08-31 0.017085 0.029997 0.047575 0.072080 0.104201 0.143783 0.195122
2025-09-07 0.016323 0.029484 0.047694 0.073388 0.107387 0.149593 0.204670
2025-09-14 0.015443 0.028739 0.047449 0.074175 0.109879 0.154535 0.213166
2025-09-21 0.014409 0.027693 0.046726 0.074269 0.111437 0.158284 0.220182
2025-09-28 0.014069 0.027691 0.047467 0.076357 0.115625 0.165392 0.231443
2025-10-05 0.012962 0.026410 0.046310 0.075775 0.116234 0.167909 0.236922
2025-10-12 0.012160 0.025567 0.045745 0.075980 0.117866 0.171728 0.244048
2025-10-19 0.011650 0.025165 0.045804 0.077043 0.120645 0.177027 0.253071
2025-10-26 0.011345 0.025086 0.046336 0.078774 0.124334 0.183529 0.263665
2025-11-02 0.010016 0.023169 0.043998 0.076311 0.122231 0.182416 0.264456